02-05-2021



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(5) Ravens at (2) Bills

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Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET | NBC

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Matchup rating: 94.3 | Spread: BUF -2.5 (50)

What to watch for: The Ravens blitzed their opponents more frequently than any other NFL team this season at 41% of opponent dropbacks -- but Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is ready for it. He faced more blitzes than any other quarterback during the regular season. And he did damage against them. Facing a blitz, he led the NFL in passing touchdowns with 17 (and had two more last week in the wild-card round), was second in QBR (93.4) and finished fourth in yards per dropback at 7.4. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques

Bold prediction: The Ravens' Lamar Jackson will become the first quarterback to rush for 100 yards in consecutive playoff games. He produced just the sixth 100-yard rushing game by a quarterback in the playoffs in last weekend's wild-card round when he ran for 136 at Tennessee. The Bills haven't allowed a quarterback to gain more than 61 yards rushing over the past two seasons, containing Kyler Murray, Cam Newton and even Jackson -- who was held to 40 rushing yards in Buffalo 13 months ago. -- Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: Bills receiver Stefon Diggs posted 128 receiving yards in last week's win. Unity raycast2d. The only players in Bills franchise history with two 100-yard receiving games in a single postseason are Hall of Famers James Lofton (1990) and Andre Reed (1992). Diggs led the entire NFL in receiving this season with 1,535 yards.

Injuries: Ravens | Bills

Bowen's matchup key: Anticipating that we see more Cover 3 from the Bills this week, Baltimore has to get receiver Marquise Brown loose on defined concepts that allow Jackson to attack middle-of-the-field voids or hit on shot plays down the field. Read more.

Betting nugget: The Ravens have covered seven straight games. The only team with a longer streak this season? The Bills, from Weeks 9-17 (eight straight). Read more.

Hensley's pick: Ravens 24, Bills 23

Louis-Jacques' pick: Bills 24, Ravens 21

FPI prediction: BAL, 51.4% (by an average of 0.5 points)

Matchup must-reads: From logo stomp to beer chug: Ravens' Peters has unpredictable passion .. Daboll went beyond X's and O's to revive the Bills' offense and his career .. Silencing their critics: Ravens' Jackson has his MVP award, is Bills' Allen next? .. Allen's growth on display in first playoff victory with Bills .. Bills again to host limited fans for divisional-round game vs. Ravens

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. -- The Jacksonville Jaguars shored up their defensive line, added a pair of starters in the secondary, and signed one of the league’s top blocking tight ends in free agency. That’s in addition to re-signing eight players from last year’s team and using the franchise tag on left tackle Cam Robinson.

Those moves didn’t address all the team’s major issues -- when you’re 1-15 you have a lot -- but the Jaguars may have done enough to provide some more clarity on their draft strategy.

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Recap of free agency

Defensive line
Signed defensive tackle Roy Robertson-Harris and defensive end Jihad Ward and re-signed defensive ends Dawuane Smoot and Adam Gotsis. The Jaguars also traded for nose tackle Malcom Brown. That’s three new starters (Robertson-Harris, Ward and Brown) and depth pieces for a unit coach Urban Meyer said is the most important on the roster.

“The No. 1 need, regardless of what the statistics said, the No. 1 need to me is always going to be [to] build your defensive front,” Meyer said. “In college, I expected [our defensive line] to be in the top five in America. In the NFL, I told our staff I expected to be top fourth [in the NFL] -- we should keep elevating that -- the top fourth in the league and we felt it wasn’t.”

Secondary
Signed cornerback Shaquill Griffin and safety Rayshawn Jenkins, in addition to re-signing corners Tre Herndon and Sidney Jones and safety Josh Jones. Two new starters, Herndon as the likely nickel, and depth with both Joneses.

Tight end
Signed Chris Manhertz as a blocker and re-signed James O'Shaughnessy, who is solid at blocking and receiving.

Running back, receiver and special teams
Signed wide receivers Marvin Jones Jr. and Phillip Dorsett to add speed and experience, signed kickoff returner Jamal Agnew and special teamer Rudy Ford, and signed running back Carlos Hyde to spell James Robinson.

Draft needs

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Three things the Jaguars didn’t get done were adding a receiving tight end, addressing edge rusher and adding a speed/third-down back, so those will be priorities in the draft.

After quarterback -- likely Trevor Lawrence first overall -- tight end remains the Jaguars’ biggest offensive need. Florida’s Kyle Pitts is the clear No. 1 tight end available, but unless the Jaguars were to trade up from No. 25 they’d have no shot at him.

There are other good pass-catching tight ends available, such as Penn State’s Pat Freiermuth, Boston College’s Hunter Long, and Miami’s Brevin Jordan, all of whom could be taken in the first three rounds. Jaguars tight ends coach Tyler Bowen was the tight ends coach at Penn State the past three seasons, which makes Freiermuth a definite possibility with the first pick of the second round.

“We have two different style of tight ends,” Meyer said. “One is a ‘Y,’ which is on the line, basically an extension of your offensive line, a very good blocker, but also very functional in the pass game. We identified the guy, had him at the top of the list and that’s [Chris] Manhertz.

'The next one is the ‘F’ and that’s the primary pass catcher, but also a functional blocker. We have not addressed that. Two years ago, O'Shaughnessy had a very good year, showed a lot of potential. Obviously, he had an ACL injury, he’s been in here training, I’ve gotten to know him, really enjoy being around him. So, we count on him, but we have not finalized that piece of the puzzle yet.”

The moves made in free agency help with the Jaguars’ switch to a 3-4 defense along the line, but there’s not much behind outside linebackers/defensive ends Josh Allen and K'Lavon Chaisson. It’s a position the Jaguars could address in the late second and third rounds. Per ESPN NFL draft analyst Mel Kiper Jr., there are multiple prospects that should be available: Washington’s Joe Tryon, Penn State’s Jayson Oweh, Temple’s Quincy Roche, Texas’ Joseph Ossai, Duke’s Chris Rumph II, Miami’s Gregory Rousseau, and Northern Iowa’s Elerson Smith.

One thing Meyer loved, especially at Florida, was backs that could really run. Jeff Demps was an Olympic sprinter (he won silver in the 2012 Summer Olympics with the 4x100 meter relay team) and Chris Rainey was an All-American as part of UF’s 4x100 meter relay team. Percy Harvin, who ran a sub 4.4 in the 40 as a high school freshman, was one of the Gators’ best players and lined up at receiver and running back.

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He’d like to add that element to the Jaguars’ offense and there are multiple prospects that fit, including Clemson’s Travis Etienne (first or second round), Kansas’ Pooka Williams Jr., North Carolina’s Michael Carter, Virginia Tech’s Khalil Herbert, and Memphis’ Kenneth Gainwell.

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The Jaguars will have to address those three positions at some point in the draft, but they may also opt to go with the best available player on their board early in the draft, even if it’s a position they’ve already addressed in free agency. It is still early in the franchise rebuild and Meyer may take the same kind of approach he did in recruiting: You can never have too many five-star players.